So THIS Is How Bloomberg Gets Earnings Reports Hours Before They're Publicly...

via Clusterstock by Henry Blodget on 12/17/10


Bloomberg

Subscribers to the $1,700-a-month Bloomberg terminal have gotten a gift in the last couple of quarters:

Earnings reports for Disney, NetApp, and other companies have appeared on the system hours before they were publicly released.

If you're a trader, of course, this is manna from heaven. The news is on the Bloomberg, so it's not like it's "inside information" anymore. And yet all the schmoes who just check CNBC and Yahoo Finance won't get it for hours. So you can go ahead and take your position and then dump it as soon as the news hits the broader tape.

So how is Bloomberg pulling off this miraculous trick?

It's using its head!  And its massive global technology team, says Ali O'Rourke.

It turns out that some companies don't want to wait until the 4PM market close to post their earnings online, perhaps because they're worried they'll forget. So what they do is post them online earlier, but don't link to the page from their web sites. This renders the page invisible--unless you know what to look for.

Humans are creatures of habit, and the humans who post earnings releases on company web sites are no different than any other humans.

Which means that if the web-page URL for a company's second quarter's earnings release was, say:

www.disney.com/earnings/Q22010release

It's probably a safe bet that the URL for the third quarter's earnings release will be:

www.disney.com/earnings/Q32010release

So the folks at Bloomberg just set their system up to ping the company's server constantly in the hours before the press release is due to appear, in the hope that some dolt in investor relations will publish it before the market closes.

And as the past several quarters have shown, many companies are happy to oblige.

So start pinging those servers, folks. Now that the "expert network" racket has been busted up, it's the best new way to get inside information!

(via Ali O'Rourke)

Now Check Out: 12 Other Awesome Things You Can Do With Your Bloomberg Terminal

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Its All Greek to Me! | The Big Picture

via www.ritholtz.com on 12/26/10

I love this series of quotes:

1. “Spain is not Greece.”
Elena Salgado, Spanish Finance minister, Feb. 2010

2. “Portugal is not Greece.”
The Economist, 22nd April 2010.

3. “Ireland is not in ‘Greek Territory.’”
Irish Finance Minister Brian Lenihan.

4. “Greece is not Ireland.”
George Papaconstantinou, Greek Finance minister, 8th November, 2010.

5. “Spain is neither Ireland nor Portugal.”
Elena Salgado, Spanish Finance minister, 16 November 2010.

6. “Neither Spain nor Portugal is Ireland.”
Angel Gurria, Secretary-general OECD, 18th November, 2010.

Groupon Prankster Mason Not Joking in Spurning Google's $6 Billion Offer - Bloomberg

Dec. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Cris Valerio reports on the personal life and career history of Andrew Mason, founder and chief executive officer of daily deal site Groupon Inc., which rejected a Google Inc. takeover last week. (Source: Bloomberg)

Andrew Mason, founder of daily deal site Groupon Inc., is a serial prankster, dedicating office space to a fictitious character, hiring a performance artist to walk around the headquarters in a tutu and dreaming up a holiday called Grouponicus whose celebrants are barred from owning dogs.

There was no joking, though, when he spurned a takeover offer worth $6 billion from Google Inc.

Mason, Groupon’s chief executive officer, fretted that the sale would sap employee morale and alienate business clients, said two people with knowledge of the matter. The people asked not to be identified because the talks, which spanned Chicago and the San Francisco Bay area and involved Google CEO Eric Schmidt, were private.

Independence gives Mason, 30, more time to keep building one of the world’s fastest-growing companies, which topped $500 million in annual sales more quickly than Web pioneers including Google and Amazon.com Inc. did. Yet Groupon, whose strategy has spawned dozens of copycats, also is left without the financial backing and global distribution it would have gotten from ownership by the world’s largest Web-search provider.

“You can set up your own daily deal website in an hour,” said Ira Weiss, a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. “They happen to have a lead on it, but if I were them I would have sold for that price.”

It wasn’t high enough for Mason, a college music major who quit his job at a Chicago recording studio and later dropped out of a master’s program in public policy to start websites.

Zuckerberg’s Lead

Mason, who previously fielded an advance from Yahoo! Inc., follows Facebook Inc. CEO Mark Zuckerberg in betting his company will fare better with venture backing than as part of a bigger owner.

“Before anybody says, ‘You have to be crazy to turn down this $6 billion offer,’ you have to consider who the people making the decision are,” said Matt Moog, a Chicago-based entrepreneur who took coupon startup CoolSavings public in 2000 and later sold it to private investors. “Andrew is a very smart guy. He clearly has a vision for where this is going; he’s not in it for this scale-and-flip kind of thing.”

Mason and Aaron Zamost, a spokesman for Google, didn’t respond to requests for comment. Julie Mossler, a Groupon spokeswoman, declined to comment.

At $6 billion, Groupon would have been the most expensive purchase for Mountain View, California-based Google. The company’s shares rose $1.18 to $573 on Dec. 3 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading. The stock has dropped 7.6 percent this year.

Local Commerce ‘Vision’

Going it alone worked out for Facebook, which is worth more than $40 billion, according to private share trading site SharesPost Inc., less than five years after spurning a $1 billion bid from Yahoo.

Founded in 2008, Groupon has amassed 35 million registered users and a staff of 3,000 people, most of them in sales. The Chicago-based company delivers deal-of-the-day coupons in more than 300 markets.

“He has a unique and profound vision about local commerce,” said Yuri Milner, founder of Digital Sky Technologies, a Groupon investor. “He was instrumental in identifying a pretty unique model of allowing small businesses to access customers.”

Groupon has grown largely because of the unconventional efforts of Mason, who says that if the staff enjoys its work of soliciting deals and marketing them to consumers, then users will relish buying them, according to Moog.

‘Funny, Wry’

“He’s a very funny, wry guy who doesn’t take himself too seriously and he’s been able to infuse that into the brand,” said Moog, who now runs online customer reviews forum Viewpoints Network. The witty descriptions of spa packages and beer tastings that accompany offers help get users to pay, Moog said.

Mason followed a different path from the many Web-startup CEOs who hone computer programming skills at schools like Harvard, Stanford and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology before scouring Silicon Valley for investors and staff.

Mason worked early on at Electrical Audio, a musty, two- story recording studio in the Roscoe Village neighborhood northwest of downtown Chicago. After earning a music degree from Northwestern University, the pianist and Billy Joel fanatic began helping at the studio on weekends, setting up equipment and fetching coffee for performers, says Greg Norman, an engineer at the studio and a friend of Mason’s.

Groupon, which takes half of sales from discount offers merchants make on its site, discussed a sale to Google as early as November, people familiar with the matter have said. The discussions included Schmidt and Google founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page, as well as David Lawee, who handles mergers and acquisitions, one of the people said.

IPO Gains

Groupon will make a decision next year on whether and how soon to proceed with an initial public offering, the person said. Investor appetite for technology public offerings is heating up, said Lise Buyer, founder of IPO consulting firm Class V Group in Portola Valley, California.

“It’s a very healthy IPO market right now for companies that have proven business models, and Groupon clearly fits in that category,” Buyer said. Of the 55 technology sector companies that have gone public this year, 40 are trading at above their IPO price, according to research released last week by Pacific Crest Equity Capital Markets Group.

Martin Tobias, CEO of rival Tippr.com, based in Seattle, said Groupon should have sold to Google.

“They are going to hope the honeymoon continues,” he said. “I’ve seen these things cool off quite quickly.”

LivingSocial, the No. 2 player in daily deals, announced a $175 million investment from Amazon last week. Other copycats include New York-based BuyWithMe.com.

Lefkofsky’s Backing

As he moved away from music toward startups, Mason split time between building Policy Tree, a site for organizing political discussion, and pursuing a master’s degree at the University of Chicago’s Harris School of Public Policy.

One of about 125 students accepted from an applicant pool of about 800, he stood out to teachers and administrators for having a clear plan to put his education to use.

“A lot of what students are facing in their first quarter is pretty theoretical material,” said Ellen Cohen, dean of students at Harris. “It’s rare for somebody to convert it all into something that is technology-based and actionable.”

Mason took a leave of absence when he got $1 million in funding from Eric Lefkofsky, an investor in startups, for a new company called The Point, a precursor to Groupon that helps wannabe activists raise funds and build petition lists by recruiting friends on the Web. The Point inspired Mason to try a new site based around the idea of collective buying.

‘Nopuorg’

Based in a six-floor warehouse in Chicago’s River North neighborhood, Groupon has rapidly added workers, many of them Midwesterners in their 20s. Staff writers, some of them recruited from the local improvisational comedy scene, churn out witty descriptions of deals at a rapid clip, often pulling previously used jokes from an online wiki.

Mason likely signed an agreement that bars him from discussing aspects of the Google approach. Still, even before talks ended, someone posing as “Mason Andrews” on a site called Nopuorg -- Groupon spelled backwards -- poked fun at the notion of a takeover.

Mason sent a link to the site from his Twitter feed.

“Andrews” blogged about suitors his company spurned. AskJeeves was turned down because “the search giant demanded too many concessions”; Mason Andrews rebuffed Sony Corp. because he “could never sell Nopuorg to a foreign company.”

Andrews concludes, saying, “Nopuorg has not…is not…and WILL NEVER sell out.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Joseph Galante in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net; Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net.

Viral!

via Rick Bookstaber by Rick Bookstaber on 11/30/10

This reflects my personal opinion, not the views of the SEC or its staff.

Sarah Palin's "Being There" ascendancy may strike some as absurd, but it provides a case study for what now counts as news. Today, going viral matters more than the information itself. The object lesson that Palin brings to politics is something we should fear for the financial markets, where going viral can transform information from being the bedrock of market efficiency to a source of irrationality, even crisis.

For example, the most important lesson to come out of robo-signing is not the fiasco itself. The incomplete and flawed documentation for foreclosures has been well known for over a year, as have the practices of “endorsing in blank”, inaccurate reporting of remittances, inflating appraisals and applicant earnings, to name a few. The robo-signing revelation is just one more shoe to drop. The important lesson is that it is a shoe that gained legs, so to speak; that went viral, topping the list for news, blog repackaging, and possible Congressional hearings. As a result, robo-signing is the item that had an impact on financial stocks which could have occurred based on any number of problems that were already known.

More broadly, the lesson from Palin and robo-signing is that we are entering a new age for the way information affects the markets, an age when going viral matters more than the information itself. Information has gone from being illuminating to being a source of risk, and not because of content, but because of the vagaries of what might gain traction.

To put this into perspective, follow the path of the role of information in the markets.

The age of private information. There was a time when information gave an advantage, when there was an edge to getting information ahead of others. Rothschild famously received early news of the British victory at Waterloo; commodities traders hired teams to wander the cocoa fields on Ghana counting pods; equity managers used their influence to get a jump on earnings announcements.

The age of too much information. The push toward transparency eroded this advantage. But the requirements for transparency throw out so much information that it is difficult to find what is relevant. Information can hide in plain sight; if every drug may cause nausea, insomnia and drowsiness, then we get to the point of, “I have to list everything I can think of, but you know the game. Just ignore it and try the stuff out”. The echo chamber of reposting adds noise to any news that is worth repeating, and much that is not.

The age of viral information. Information is moving from being the bedrock of market efficiency to a source of crisis. The risk for the market is not the news itself, but what news gets drilled home through so many channels that people act on it; we cannot anticipate when information might go viral and sweep the markets.. For retail markets – the municipal bond market and money market immediately come to mind – it is easy to envision a “USA Today effect”, to use an anachronistic expression, causing a run on the bank.

The greatest concern lies in information going viral that is inconsequential. For those in the market who are on top of the news and its implications, the question no longer is simply one of when others will finally get around to looking at the information and see that it is important. It is also a question of whether something irrelevant will catch the fancy of the cloud. Look at Sarah Palin and see the logical end to the inane You Tube videos that capture the imagination of the nation, or the ranks of the “famous for being nothing” reality show celebrities that Palin has elected to join.

The new, viral world means more surprises and more volatility; and not because of market shocks precipitated by content, but because of the randomness in what might happen to catch on and reverberate through the internet.